Monthly Stats

Forecasting

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Grid search was used to perform hyperparameter optimization using mean squared error (MSE) to measure the accuracy of the SARIMAX model.

The table below lists the age groups that the model was trained on along with the MSE for the optimal hyperparameters.

Age Group Mean Squared Error
All Ages 92.39363771857522
Adolescent 16.49164746085854
School Aged 30.391175454266783
Working Adult 68.75237781971302
Retired 20.642691625459403

Age and Year Stats